Polymarket defends its decision to allow betting on war as ‘invaluable’

February 28, 2026 Terrence O’Brien

Listing on Polymarket for betting on “US next strikes Iran on...?”
It might be World War III, but at least I won $20. | Image: Polymarket / The Verge

Polymarket has been allowing people to bet on when the US would strike Iran next. Obviously, now that it's actually happened and people have died, the prediction betting market is feeling some pressure. The site has been at the center of controversy before, including suspicions of insider trading on the Super Bowl halftime show and the capture of Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro.

In a statement posted on its site, Polymarket defended its decision to allow betting on the potential start of a war, saying that it was an "invaluable" source of news and answers, before taking shots at traditional media and Elon Musk's X. The statement reads:

Read the full story at The Verge.

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